AGP Executive Report

Border Security & Energy Risk: Iraq shut several border crossings under “administrative and security” measures after drone attacks on Saudi Arabia’s oil pipeline, while confirming Zurbatiyah and Al-Mundhiriyah crossings on the Iranian border stayed open. Oil Infrastructure Watch: Saudi Arabia halted its East-West (Petroline) pipeline as a precaution after drones hit Riyadh and Medina areas, with officials saying drones were launched from Iraq—raising wider spillover fears for Red Sea crude flows. Regional Shipping Pressure: With the Strait of Hormuz under tighter Iranian threat, the US is shifting tanker protection into two daily recommended transit windows, aiming to reduce attacks on Gulf shipping. Diplomacy & Water/Infrastructure: Iraqi PM Ali al-Zaidi heads to Paris to meet Macron for talks on energy, transport, municipal water networks, healthcare, and security coordination. Online Harm Monitoring: Iraqi CSOs launched a coordinated monitoring push to track harmful online narratives, hate speech, disinformation, and harassment tied to the regional conflict, supported through UNESCO’s Social Media 4 Peace work. Local Governance & Stability: Iraq’s armed forces commander dismissed the Maysan Operations Command chief and ordered an investigation after attacks on Saudi Arabia were linked to a launch site in Maysan.

Strait of Hormuz & regional shipping risk: Iran and Gulf states are set to hold talks in Oman on Monday to manage shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for oil, gas, and fertilizer trade—while tensions and exchanges of fire continue to threaten maritime safety and costs. Red Sea chokepoint escalation: Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthis seized Mayyun (Perim) Island and expanded control along the Bab el-Mandeb area in a rapid push, raising new risks for vessels using the Red Sea corridor. Heat stress in the Middle East: A new report warns that extreme heat is becoming the “new normal” across the Middle East and North Africa, with major implications for health, water, and livelihoods. Iraq water & recovery needs: After flooding in Rasuwa, an estimated $2.34 billion is flagged for education-sector recovery, underscoring how climate shocks keep disrupting basic services. Iraq environment & tech: Iraq is rolling out an AI detection system and plans a digital platform to connect farmers with markets—moves that could support more resilient agriculture if paired with strong water and pollution safeguards.

Oil & Air Pollution Activism: A new short film, Last Gasp, spotlights toxic oil flaring and its health toll on Iraqi communities, linking gas burning at Rumaila to childhood leukaemia and pushing the issue of “poisoned skies” into public debate. Climate Risk in Iraq: A report warns climate change could displace millions in Iraq, adding pressure to already strained services and livelihoods. Water & Nature in the Kurdistan Region: Iraq’s Nineveh boosts Tigris fish stocks with 400,000 carp, a sign of ongoing efforts to protect local biodiversity and restore aquatic life. Energy & Environment Policy: Iraq is moving to recover associated gas through four projects totaling 1.4 billion cubic feet, aiming to cut waste and reduce flare-related impacts. Governance & Environmental Health: Iraq’s electricity sector faces deepening corruption concerns as parliament tightens contract oversight—an issue that can directly affect power reliability and pollution from inefficient generation. Contaminated Land Remediation: SUS ENVIRONMENT highlights integrated remediation services for contaminated sites, landfill management, and waste treatment—relevant to Iraq’s long-term cleanup needs.

Climate Displacement Watch: Kurdistan’s foreign relations chief Safeen Dizayee warned that climate change and drought could eventually force hundreds of thousands, even millions, of Iraqis to move—already, drought in the marshes is pushing families north; IOM data for Sept. 2025 cites 186,006 people displaced by climatic factors across 12 provinces, with Dhi Qar hit hard by water shortages. Water & Livelihoods: The same warning tied displacement to the collapse of rural livelihoods, especially for livestock-dependent communities, and called for stronger international cooperation to reduce smuggling and trafficking while improving regular migration pathways. Public Health Oversight: Iraq’s parliament formed a committee to standardize medicine prices and require clearer, electronic prescriptions, aiming to curb corruption and counterfeit drugs. Sanctions Ripple Effects: The US Treasury imposed Iran-related sanctions on nine Iraqi nationals and two Baghdad-based companies accused of ties to Tehran and allied armed groups.

Iraq’s solar push in Karbala: President Nizar Amedi toured the holy province and backed upgrades to services and infrastructure, including commending the Al-Noor solar panel manufacturing plant tied to the Al-Abbas shrine—an energy-industry step with local impact. Digital farming for fairer prices: Iraq’s Ministry of Agriculture is studying a digital marketing platform to connect farmers with buyers, publish real-time prices, cut middlemen exploitation, and reduce waste and delivery risk. Cleaner gas management in Baghdad: Iraq’s General Company for Gas Filling and Services launched new operations centres and an electronic liquid gas tracking system under the Ministry of Oil’s digital drive, aiming to improve monitoring and continuity. Jobs and a “just transition” plan: Iraq signed a four-year Decent Work Country Programme (2026–2029) with the ILO and local partners, focusing on skills, employment growth, workers’ rights, and social protection. Oil and security pressures: A tanker was struck near Al Faw; no oil impact was reported, but authorities are investigating.

Maritime Safety in Focus: Iraq’s Ministry of Transport says a fuel-oil tanker chartered by the Iraqi Oil Tankers Company was struck in Iraqi territorial waters, causing minor hull damage with no casualties and no reported cargo leak; UKMTO also reported an “unknown projectile” near Faw port and added two other hostile incidents, while authorities isolated the vessel and checked the area for any environmental impact. Displacement & Climate Pressure: IOM warns that more than one million Iraqis remain internally displaced and need housing, livelihoods, documentation and services, stressing that climate change and water scarcity are adding new pressure to human mobility as Iraq’s National Migration Strategy is launched in Baghdad. Energy Security via Gas Trade: Jordan approved a plan to supply Lebanon with natural gas using the Arab Gas Pipeline, routing regasified LNG from Aqaba through Syria to Lebanon to ease rolling blackouts and water rationing linked to fuel shortages. Oil Market Shock: With Gulf tensions rising, Iraq is also seeking an OPEC+ output baseline increase to 6 mbpd during an audit, as Brent pushes above $100 amid disruption fears. Regional Spillover: Reports say a drone hit a tanker carrying about 2 million barrels of Iraqi fuel oil near Al-Faw, with crews safe and fire contained, underscoring how conflict risks are now directly touching Iraq’s marine environment.

Water Security in Al-Anbar: Al-Rutba in Iraq’s far west sits on large dam and reservoir storage, but officials say the water is underused for farming due to limited modern irrigation tech, investment gaps, and security constraints. Agriculture & Climate Resilience: With rainfall rebounding after drought, olive farmers in Karak expect a stronger olive and oil season and fewer pest and fungal problems—good news for local prices. AI for Public Trust: Iraq’s National Security Service launched “Distinguish the Fake,” an AI media-verification tool aimed at helping people spot doctored images, videos, and dubbed audio to curb misinformation and fraud. Oil & Environment Risk: With US-Iran tensions escalating around the Strait of Hormuz, analysts warn the sea lane is becoming an “environmental tinderbox” where tanker attacks could trigger fires or major oil spills. Biodiversity & Fisheries: Nineveh is boosting Tigris fish stocks by releasing 400,000 carp. Tourism & Heritage: Iraq’s archaeology and tourism experts call for a national strategy and better infrastructure to turn sites like Babylon and Ur into a stronger, sustainable economic engine.

Energy & Jobs: Iraq’s job market is shifting as AI tools take over routine tasks, raising the bar for new graduates who once relied on entry-level editing, admin, and basic media roles. Environment & Climate Risk: In Iraqi Kurdistan, Aynda warns rising fuel prices and unreliable electricity are pushing residents toward cutting trees for heating as autumn and winter approach, threatening forests already hit by fires, drought, and climate change. Health & Environment: Iraq’s Health Ministry says it needs at least $6.84B to cover debts, contracts, and medicines—an acute strain that could worsen public health capacity, especially in areas still recovering from conflict damage. Anti-Corruption: Iraq reports more than 26,000 corruption tips filed with the Integrity Commission, with recovered funds and assets topping 1.359 trillion dinars as a national crackdown expands. Oil & Tourism: Iraq’s tourism and archaeology experts call for a national strategy and better infrastructure to unlock heritage sites like Babylon and Ur as a sustainable economic engine. Energy Cooperation: A major oil and gas expo in Baghdad spotlights Chinese firms’ technology transfer and scholarship programs tied to long-running projects in Iraq.

Air Pollution Alert: Aynda warns Iraq and the Kurdistan Region are facing worsening air quality and public health risks, pointing to unregulated refineries, vehicle emissions, private generators, waste dumping and burning, industrial pollution, and loss of forests and green spaces. Anti-Corruption Push: Iraq’s Integrity Commission says it has received over 26,000 corruption reports, with recovered funds/assets passing 1.359 trillion dinars, as the government activates whistleblower rewards and protection rules. Local Environment & Jobs: Iraq’s Ministry of Planning and the UN plan a workshop on building inclusive, risk-informed small and medium-sized enterprises to support sustainable recovery and local resilience. Water & Nature: Iraq’s Nineveh is boosting Tigris fish stocks with 400,000 carp, aiming to strengthen local biodiversity and fisheries. KRI Investment: The Kurdistan Region won recognition at the UAE investment congress for attracting foreign direct investment, with judges citing job creation, innovation, and alignment with sustainable development goals.

Air Quality Alarm: Aynda warns that worsening air pollution in Iraq and the Kurdistan Region is driven by unregulated refineries, vehicle emissions, private generators, waste dumping and burning, industrial pollution, and loss of forests/green spaces—urging stronger oversight, cleaner energy, better monitoring, and emissions controls. Regional Water Security: Kuwait’s KISR, with the IAEA, is pushing a groundwater protection project using nuclear techniques to map vulnerability and set protection zones amid climate change and pollution, with Iraq among participating countries. Oil & Climate Pressure: Iraq is drafting a four-year plan to nearly double crude capacity to about 10 mbpd by 2030, while the Hormuz disruption backdrop keeps energy risks high. Local Nature & Food: Nineveh boosts Tigris fish stocks with 400,000 carp, aiming to strengthen local aquatic biodiversity and livelihoods. Governance & Environment: Iraq’s electricity sector faces deepening corruption concerns as parliament moves to tighten contract oversight—an issue that can directly affect power reliability and pollution from backup generation.

Southern Lebanon Flashpoint: Israel says it took operational control of Ali al-Taher ridge, a key height near Nabatieh, intensifying pressure on a fragile ceasefire as Hezbollah’s position remains unverified. Iraq Banking Stability: Analyst Manar Al-Obaidi says Iraq’s banking sector isn’t collapsing, but is being restructured after the Central Bank put Al-Taif Islamic Bank under conservatorship for compliance failures. Groundwater Protection: KISR and the IAEA launched a regional push to map groundwater vulnerability using nuclear techniques amid climate and pollution risks, with Iraq among participating countries. Oil & Energy Pressure: Iraq is drafting a plan to nearly double crude capacity toward 10 mbpd by 2030, while OPEC+ keeps October output steady as Hormuz disruptions cloud supply. Gas Flaring Cuts: Iraq’s Oil Ministry is rolling out four projects to recover associated gas and stop flaring by 2029, targeting 1.4 billion cubic feet capacity. Tigris Fish Restocking: Nineveh released 400,000 carp fingerlings into the Tigris to boost fish stocks and support local livelihoods. Baghdad Green Taxi: Iraq’s “Green Taxi” electric taxi charging plan is taking shape in Baghdad to tackle the gasoline shortage and cut pollution, with environmental impact measurements planned after launch.

Groundwater & Water Security: Kuwait’s KISR and the IAEA launched a regional push to protect groundwater using nuclear techniques, aiming to map vulnerability and set protection zones amid climate and pollution pressures, with Iraq among participating countries. Shipping & Hormuz Risk: Iran’s security chief says a new “restricted zone” will be announced around the Strait of Hormuz, warning ships entering it could be added to sanctions lists—raising fresh concerns for regional waterway safety and environmental spill risk. Gas Flaring Cut: Iraq’s Oil Ministry is rolling out four projects to recover associated gas (1.4 billion cubic feet capacity) to stop flaring by end-2029, while also expanding gas development in Akkas and Mansouriya. Clean Transport in Baghdad: Iraq’s “Green Taxi” plan is taking shape as Baghdad prepares electric taxi charging facilities, developed with the Environment Ministry to cut pollution during a gasoline shortage. Aquatic Life Recovery: Nineveh released 400,000 common carp fingerlings into the Tigris to boost fish stocks, support livelihoods, and restore aquatic balance. Food Resilience: Iraq announced wheat and date self-sufficiency for 2026, citing new salinity-tolerant seed varieties and long-term subsidized irrigation support.

Aquatic Restoration in Nineveh: Nineveh’s Agriculture Directorate released 400,000 carp fingerlings into the Tigris to boost fish stocks, support fishing livelihoods, and help restore the river’s ecological balance. Clean Transport in Baghdad: Iraq’s “Green Taxi” plan is taking shape amid a gasoline shortage, with the Transport Ministry working with the Environment Ministry to build electric taxi charging facilities and later measure pollution cuts and other environmental effects. Food Security with a Climate Twist: Iraq announced wheat and date self-sufficiency for 2026, citing salinity- and stress-tolerant seed varieties and subsidized irrigation sprinklers to reduce reliance on imports. Wildlife Conservation: Two rehabilitated Eurasian griffon vultures were released from Saudi Arabia and have settled in Armenia and Iraq, with tracking showing they stayed close to their new home ranges. Policy Watch: Eco Iraq criticized a proposed borrowing law, warning it could harm non-oil revenues and open the door to corruption and unfair competition. Regional Energy Pressure: OPEC+ is expected to keep October oil policy steady as Strait of Hormuz disruptions continue to complicate oil flows.

Iraq’s Green Taxi: Baghdad is moving toward a “Green Taxi” plan to ease gasoline shortages by introducing electric taxis and charging infrastructure, with the Transport Ministry working alongside the Environment Ministry; officials say pollution-reduction measurements would start after launch, and a Chinese automaker deal is being considered for importing thousands of EVs. Wildlife Recovery: Two rehabilitated Eurasian Griffon vultures released from Saudi Arabia have settled into new home ranges in Armenia and Iraq after journeys across eight countries, signaling growing resident populations. Food Security & Water Stress: Iraq says it has reached self-sufficiency in wheat and dates for 2026, citing climate-resilient seed varieties and subsidized irrigation sprinkler systems to handle salinity and climate shocks. Anti-Corruption Spotlight: Authorities arrested the head of the Baiji Oil Institute’s training department in a corruption probe tied to Iraq’s wider Dawn Crackdown. Budget Pressure: Karbala warns it needs 350 new schools as delayed 2024–2026 budgets stall projects and leave contractors owed large sums. Climate Justice Lens: A commentary links recent Nepal flash floods to climate justice failures, arguing that warming-driven extremes hit the most vulnerable hardest despite low emissions.

Climate Justice: Nepal’s flash floods are being framed as a climate justice crisis, not “just nature,” with warming in the Himalayas driving more extreme rainfall, landslides, and drought that hit the poorest hardest. Iraq Food Security: Iraq says it reached wheat and date self-sufficiency for 2026, citing climate-resilient seed varieties and subsidized irrigation sprinklers to cut reliance on imports. Green Taxi (Air Pollution): Baghdad’s “Green Taxi” plan is moving forward amid a gasoline shortage, aiming to roll out electric taxis with charging infrastructure and pollution-impact measurements, with possible Chinese vehicle imports. Local Services & Budgets: Karbala warns it needs 350 new schools as budget delays stall construction and leave the province owing contractors, worsening overcrowding. Governance & Corruption Risks: Eco Iraq criticizes a proposed borrowing law, warning it could harm non-oil revenues and open doors to corruption and unfair competition.

Green Taxi in Baghdad: Iraq’s Transport and Environment ministries are moving ahead with a “Green Taxi” plan to roll out electric taxis and charging points in Baghdad, aiming to cut pollution while the city faces a severe gasoline shortage; officials say pollution measurements will start after launch, and a contract with a Chinese automaker is being considered to import thousands of EVs. Education strain in Karbala: Budget delays for 2024–2026 are stalling school projects in Karbala, leaving the province needing 350 new schools to ease overcrowding and relying on prefabricated classrooms, while contractors are owed about 300 billion dinars. Baghdad transport crunch: With around 3 million registered vehicles but only about 1,000 buses and not enough drivers, Baghdad’s public transport is under pressure ahead of the Sept. 20 school year. Wildlife and land recovery: A veteran in Oklahoma is restoring a 400-acre ranch by clearing invasive cedars, helping native grasses return and water flow back into streams. Sustainable land push: At UNCCD COP17, mayors adopted a declaration backing sustainable land management and drought resilience, urging stronger local government action on water security and urban-rural links.